Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 3.294715 3.658309 4.052321 4.512147 5.035457 5.614107 6.304610
2025-05-11 2.784266 3.274323 3.843115 4.556409 5.433029 6.482943 7.847235
2025-05-18 2.454883 3.010661 3.689236 4.587551 5.758740 7.252301 9.330968
2025-05-25 2.151587 2.724539 3.451858 4.456292 5.828693 7.669826 10.381305
2025-06-01 1.946182 2.532366 3.301663 4.403680 5.972633 8.174557 11.587755
2025-06-08 1.788224 2.382797 3.186265 4.375292 6.131901 8.700596 12.875540
2025-06-15 1.713181 2.336247 3.202671 4.526787 6.556662 9.651050 14.931442
2025-06-22 1.599052 2.223004 3.111677 4.507174 6.715006 10.203651 16.416056
2025-06-29 1.492399 2.110845 3.010852 4.459395 6.818269 10.671391 17.812456
2025-07-06 1.352953 1.939612 2.807916 4.232910 6.607410 10.590930 18.217299
2025-07-13 1.289222 1.877244 2.764759 4.254703 6.805353 11.221730 20.011969
2025-07-20 1.246280 1.843113 2.761744 4.339611 7.115909 12.081393 22.371936
2025-07-27 1.203100 1.807044 2.755040 4.421370 7.436318 13.011279 25.060917
2025-08-03 1.155850 1.761250 2.729079 4.467543 7.697219 13.862418 27.741212
2025-08-10 1.109741 1.713970 2.696697 4.498527 7.931398 14.688527 30.515629
2025-08-17 1.038890 1.621396 2.581534 4.370390 7.846757 14.857811 31.810224
2025-08-24 0.987418 1.557999 2.511756 4.319001 7.905712 15.329585 33.907032
2025-08-31 0.943952 1.505526 2.457297 4.291265 8.008192 15.905184 36.368398
2025-09-07 0.931320 1.505019 2.493953 4.439291 8.485918 17.369058 41.428099
2025-09-14 0.894180 1.459559 2.446868 4.420130 8.608494 18.040726 44.496349
2025-09-21 0.855676 1.409562 2.388359 4.373446 8.666344 18.567109 47.267491
2025-09-28 0.795525 1.318003 2.248190 4.152124 8.318376 18.073576 46.955290
2025-10-05 0.771996 1.291312 2.227455 4.173422 8.517274 18.953080 50.987510